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  • Solar-Geophysical Activity

    From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Wed Jul 3 23:52:48 2019
    R:190704/0249Z 24810@LU3DVN.USH.TDF.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190704/0240Z 32356@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190704/0248Z 20758@N9LCF.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190704/0247Z 201@K9BIF.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.16
    R:190704/0247Z 13024@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA BPQK6.0.18
    R:190704/0031Z 9948@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 184 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to
    03/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (04 Jul, 05 Jul, 06 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 395 km/s at 03/1648Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
    03/1035Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
    03/1526Z.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (04 Jul, 06
    Jul) and quiet to active levels on day two (05 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 04 Jul-06 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 03 Jul 067
    Predicted 04 Jul-06 Jul 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 03 Jul 071

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jul 005/006
    Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jul 005/005
    Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jul-06 Jul 007/008-013/018-007/010

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jul-06 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 20/35/25
    Minor Storm 05/20/10
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 20/10/20
    Minor Storm 25/25/30
    Major-severe storm 20/50/30

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    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Thu Jul 4 20:50:10 2019
    R:190704/2349Z 24877@LU3DVN.USH.TDF.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190704/2340Z 32406@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190704/2348Z 14717@KC9VYU.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190704/2348Z 13067@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA BPQK6.0.18
    R:190704/2313Z 9981@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 185 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to
    04/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (05 Jul, 06 Jul, 07 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 418 km/s at 04/0133Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
    04/1417Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
    04/1917Z.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to active levels on day one (05 Jul), quiet to unsettled
    levels on day two (06 Jul) and quiet levels on day three (07 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 05 Jul-07 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 04 Jul 068
    Predicted 05 Jul-07 Jul 068/068/068
    90 Day Mean 04 Jul 071

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 03 Jul 006/005
    Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Jul 006/007
    Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Jul-07 Jul 013/018-007/010-006/005

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Jul-07 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 35/25/10
    Minor Storm 20/10/05
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 10/20/15
    Minor Storm 25/30/20
    Major-severe storm 50/30/20

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    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Sat Jul 6 09:00:08 2019
    R:190706/1155Z 24979@LU3DVN.USH.TDF.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190706/1147Z 32535@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190706/1155Z 10137@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA BPQK6.0.18
    R:190706/1155Z 13136@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA BPQK6.0.18
    R:190706/1111Z 10006@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 186 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to
    05/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (06 Jul, 07 Jul, 08 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 457 km/s at 05/1444Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
    04/2233Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
    05/0110Z.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (06 Jul) and quiet levels
    on days two and three (07 Jul, 08 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 06 Jul-08 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 05 Jul 067
    Predicted 06 Jul-08 Jul 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 05 Jul 070

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 04 Jul 008/006
    Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Jul 007/006
    Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Jul-08 Jul 007/008-006/005-006/005

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Jul-08 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 20/10/10
    Minor Storm 10/05/01
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 20/15/15
    Minor Storm 25/20/15
    Major-severe storm 25/20/15

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    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Mon Jul 8 00:10:09 2019
    R:190708/0257Z @:LU4ECL.LP.BA.AR.SOAM #:20380 [20381] FBB7.01.35 alpha $:10042_ R:190708/0249Z 32609@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190708/0257Z 10207@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA BPQK6.0.18
    R:190708/0257Z 13065@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190708/0111Z 10042@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 188 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to
    07/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (08 Jul, 09 Jul, 10 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 363 km/s at 07/1627Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
    07/2023Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
    07/2004Z.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet levels on day one (08 Jul) and quiet to active levels on
    days two and three (09 Jul, 10 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 08 Jul-10 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 07 Jul 067
    Predicted 08 Jul-10 Jul 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 07 Jul 070

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jul 005/004
    Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Jul 004/005
    Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Jul-10 Jul 006/005-008/012-013/015

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jul-10 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 10/25/30
    Minor Storm 01/10/15
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/10
    Minor Storm 15/25/25
    Major-severe storm 15/40/50

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    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Mon Jul 8 22:00:14 2019
    R:190709/0050Z 32651@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190709/0057Z 21070@N9LCF.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190709/0057Z 13091@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190709/0021Z 10057@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 189 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z to
    08/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (09 Jul, 10 Jul, 11 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
    wind speed reached a peak of 440 km/s at 08/0237Z. Total IMF reached 13
    nT at 08/2024Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 08/2100Z.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (09 Jul, 10 Jul) and unsettled levels on day three (11 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 08 Jul 067
    Predicted 09 Jul-11 Jul 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 08 Jul 070

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 07 Jul 005/004
    Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Jul 005/006
    Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Jul-11 Jul 008/012-013/015-011/012

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 25/30/25
    Minor Storm 10/15/10
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/10/15
    Minor Storm 25/25/25
    Major-severe storm 40/50/40

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    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Tue Jul 9 23:10:16 2019
    R:190710/0210Z 25113@LU3DVN.USH.TDF.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190710/0200Z 32734@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190710/0209Z 14994@KC9VYU.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190710/0209Z 13161@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190710/0115Z 10081@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 190 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z to
    09/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (10 Jul, 11 Jul, 12 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
    wind speed reached a peak of 630 km/s at 09/2047Z. Total IMF reached 21
    nT at 08/2215Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -11 nT at 09/1846Z.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at unsettled levels on day one (10 Jul) and quiet levels on days
    two and three (11 Jul, 12 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 09 Jul 068
    Predicted 10 Jul-12 Jul 068/068/068
    90 Day Mean 09 Jul 070

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jul 007/008
    Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jul 013/018
    Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jul-12 Jul 011/012-007/008-006/005

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 25/20/10
    Minor Storm 10/05/05
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 25/25/20
    Major-severe storm 40/30/15

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    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Wed Jul 10 21:20:12 2019
    R:190711/0010Z 25149@LU3DVN.USH.TDF.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190711/0001Z 32806@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190711/0009Z 15038@KC9VYU.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190711/0009Z 13197@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190710/2341Z 10102@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 191 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09/2100Z to
    10/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (11 Jul, 12 Jul, 13 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
    Solar wind speed reached a peak of 695 km/s at 10/0237Z. Total IMF
    reached 11 nT at 10/0633Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
    -8 nT at 10/0623Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
    reached a peak level of 8131 pfu.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to active levels on day one (11 Jul), quiet to unsettled
    levels on day two (12 Jul) and quiet levels on day three (13 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 11 Jul-13 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 10 Jul 068
    Predicted 11 Jul-13 Jul 068/068/068
    90 Day Mean 10 Jul 070

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 09 Jul 016/018
    Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Jul 017/022
    Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Jul-13 Jul 008/010-007/008-006/005

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Jul-13 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 30/20/10
    Minor Storm 10/05/05
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 30/25/20
    Major-severe storm 45/30/15

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Thu Jul 11 23:40:16 2019
    R:190712/0235Z 25206@LU3DVN.USH.TDF.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190712/0226Z 32866@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190712/0234Z 15094@KC9VYU.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190712/0234Z 13239@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190712/0029Z 10117@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 192 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z to
    11/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (12 Jul, 13 Jul, 14 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
    wind speed reached a peak of 640 km/s at 11/0324Z. Total IMF reached 6
    nT at 11/0739Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 11/0732Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
    peak level of 6595 pfu.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (12 Jul) and quiet levels
    on days two and three (13 Jul, 14 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 12 Jul-14 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 11 Jul 067
    Predicted 12 Jul-14 Jul 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 11 Jul 070

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 10 Jul 013/019
    Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Jul 009/009
    Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Jul-14 Jul 007/008-006/005-006/005

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Jul-14 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 20/10/10
    Minor Storm 05/05/05
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 25/20/20
    Major-severe storm 30/15/15

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Fri Jul 12 21:40:10 2019
    R:190713/0027Z 32939@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190713/0034Z 10478@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA BPQ6.0.18
    R:190713/0034Z 13269@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190712/2359Z 10128@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 193 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z to
    12/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (13 Jul, 14 Jul, 15 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 516 km/s at 12/0643Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
    12/0726Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
    12/0724Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
    peak level of 6599 pfu.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet levels on days one and two (13 Jul, 14 Jul) and quiet to
    active levels on day three (15 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 13 Jul-15 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 12 Jul 067
    Predicted 13 Jul-15 Jul 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 12 Jul 070

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 11 Jul 009/009
    Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Jul 005/005
    Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Jul-15 Jul 006/005-006/005-007/010

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Jul-15 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 10/10/30
    Minor Storm 05/05/10
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 20/20/30
    Major-severe storm 15/15/35

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


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  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Sun Jul 14 10:10:16 2019
    R:190714/1307Z 25331@LU3DVN.USH.TDF.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190714/1259Z 33038@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190714/1306Z 10565@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA BPQ6.0.18
    R:190714/1307Z 13313@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190714/1147Z 10146@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 194 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z to
    13/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (14 Jul, 15 Jul, 16 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 496 km/s at 12/2236Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
    13/0741Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
    13/0741Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
    peak level of 6421 pfu.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet levels on day one (14 Jul) and quiet to active levels on
    days two and three (15 Jul, 16 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 14 Jul-16 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 13 Jul 066
    Predicted 14 Jul-16 Jul 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 13 Jul 070

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 12 Jul 005/005
    Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Jul 005/005
    Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Jul-16 Jul 006/005-007/010-011/012

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Jul-16 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 10/30/30
    Minor Storm 05/10/10
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 20/30/30
    Major-severe storm 15/35/35

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    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Mon Jul 15 01:10:18 2019
    R:190715/0409Z 25368@LU3DVN.USH.TDF.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190715/0400Z 33070@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190715/0408Z 10610@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA BPQ6.0.18
    R:190715/0408Z 13335@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190714/2321Z 10154@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 195 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z to
    14/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (15 Jul, 16 Jul, 17 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 489 km/s at 14/0933Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
    13/2201Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
    14/1956Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
    peak level of 4208 pfu.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (15 Jul, 16 Jul) and
    quiet to unsettled levels on day three (17 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 15 Jul-17 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 14 Jul 067
    Predicted 15 Jul-17 Jul 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 14 Jul 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jul 006/006
    Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jul 005/005
    Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jul-17 Jul 007/010-011/012-008/008

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jul-17 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 30/30/20
    Minor Storm 10/10/05
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 30/30/25
    Major-severe storm 35/35/30

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    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Mon Jul 15 22:20:31 2019
    R:190716/0113Z 8253@PY2BIL.SP.BRA.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190716/0111Z 2913@VE1MPF.#MCTN.NB.CAN.NOAM BPQ6.0.16
    R:190716/0110Z 52140@W9ABA.#WCWI.WI.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190716/0110Z 25573@KE0GB.#SECO.CO.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190716/0109Z 10659@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA BPQ6.0.18
    R:190716/0109Z 13366@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190716/0057Z 10173@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 196 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z to
    15/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (16 Jul, 17 Jul, 18 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
    wind speed reached a peak of 512 km/s at 15/0931Z. Total IMF reached 9
    nT at 15/0818Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 15/0853Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
    peak level of 3879 pfu.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (16 Jul, 17 Jul)
    and quiet levels on day three (18 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 16 Jul-18 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 15 Jul 067
    Predicted 16 Jul-18 Jul 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 15 Jul 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 14 Jul 006/005
    Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Jul 007/008
    Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Jul-18 Jul 008/008-008/008-006/005

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Jul-18 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 20/20/10
    Minor Storm 10/05/05
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 25/25/20
    Major-severe storm 25/30/15

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo





    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Wed Jul 17 00:20:12 2019
    R:190717/0311Z 14057@LU1DNS.SA.BA.AR.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190717/0310Z 25455@LU3DVN.USH.TDF.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190717/0301Z 33221@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190717/0309Z 15364@KC9VYU.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190717/0309Z 13405@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190716/2358Z 10186@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 197 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z to
    16/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (17 Jul, 18 Jul, 19 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 453 km/s at 16/0207Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
    15/2154Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
    16/1001Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
    peak level of 2841 pfu.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (17 Jul, 18 Jul, 19
    Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 17 Jul-19 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 16 Jul 067
    Predicted 17 Jul-19 Jul 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 16 Jul 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 15 Jul 008/007
    Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Jul 004/006
    Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Jul-19 Jul 006/006-006/005-006/005

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Jul-19 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 15/10/10
    Minor Storm 05/05/05
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 20/20/20
    Major-severe storm 20/15/15

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Fri Jul 19 22:10:12 2019
    R:190720/0104Z 9587@N7HPX.#BOI.ID.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190720/0104Z 15516@KC9VYU.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190720/0104Z 13515@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190720/0055Z 10257@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 200 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z to
    19/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (20 Jul, 21 Jul, 22 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 403 km/s at 19/0343Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
    18/2105Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at
    18/2259Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
    peak level of 1824 pfu.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (20 Jul, 22
    Jul) and quiet levels on day two (21 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 20 Jul-22 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 19 Jul 067
    Predicted 20 Jul-22 Jul 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 19 Jul 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 18 Jul 004/003
    Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Jul 004/005
    Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Jul-22 Jul 006/008-005/005-007/008

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Jul-22 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 15/10/15
    Minor Storm 05/01/05
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 25/20/25
    Major-severe storm 25/15/25

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Sat Jul 20 20:10:18 2019
    R:190720/2305Z 9631@N7HPX.#BOI.ID.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190720/2304Z 15548@KC9VYU.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190720/2304Z 13533@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190720/2256Z 10271@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 201 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19/2100Z to
    20/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (21 Jul, 22 Jul, 23 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 338 km/s at 19/2118Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1846 pfu.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet levels on days one and two (21 Jul, 22 Jul) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (23 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 21 Jul-23 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 20 Jul 067
    Predicted 21 Jul-23 Jul 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 20 Jul 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 19 Jul 003/003
    Estimated Afr/Ap 20 Jul 003/004
    Predicted Afr/Ap 21 Jul-23 Jul 005/005-006/005-007/008

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Jul-23 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 10/10/15
    Minor Storm 01/01/05
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 20/20/25
    Major-severe storm 10/10/25

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Sun Jul 21 21:10:13 2019
    R:190722/0009Z 9692@N7HPX.#BOI.ID.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190722/0008Z 15599@KC9VYU.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190722/0008Z 13565@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190722/0001Z 10285@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 202 Issued at 2200Z on 21 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20/2100Z to
    21/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (22 Jul, 23 Jul, 24 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20/2100Z to 21/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 368 km/s at 21/0423Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at
    21/1834Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
    21/0440Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
    peak level of 1363 pfu.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet levels on day one (22 Jul) and quiet to unsettled levels
    on days two and three (23 Jul, 24 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 22 Jul-24 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 21 Jul 068
    Predicted 22 Jul-24 Jul 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 21 Jul 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 20 Jul 005/004
    Estimated Afr/Ap 21 Jul 005/006
    Predicted Afr/Ap 22 Jul-24 Jul 006/005-007/008-008/008

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 Jul-24 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 10/15/15
    Minor Storm 01/05/05
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 20/25/25
    Major-severe storm 10/25/25

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Mon Jul 22 20:23:15 2019
    R:190722/2310Z 9739@N7HPX.#BOI.ID.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190722/2310Z 15635@KC9VYU.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190722/2310Z 13587@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190722/2229Z 10312@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 203 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z to
    22/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (23 Jul, 24 Jul, 25 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
    wind speed reached a peak of 452 km/s at 22/1541Z. Total IMF reached 10
    nT at 21/2138Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at 22/0528Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
    peak level of 780 pfu.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (23 Jul, 24 Jul)
    and quiet levels on day three (25 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 23 Jul-25 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 22 Jul 067
    Predicted 23 Jul-25 Jul 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 22 Jul 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 21 Jul 009/008
    Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Jul 009/008
    Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Jul-25 Jul 007/008-008/008-005/005

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Jul-25 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 15/15/10
    Minor Storm 05/05/01
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 25/25/15
    Major-severe storm 25/25/15

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Tue Jul 23 21:23:19 2019
    R:190724/0011Z 9806@N7HPX.#BOI.ID.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190724/0010Z 11063@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA BPQ6.0.18
    R:190724/0010Z 13630@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190723/2330Z 10328@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 204 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22/2100Z to
    23/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (24 Jul, 25 Jul, 26 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 437 km/s at 23/0115Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
    23/0953Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
    23/1853Z.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (24 Jul, 26
    Jul) and quiet levels on day two (25 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 24 Jul-26 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 23 Jul 067
    Predicted 24 Jul-26 Jul 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 23 Jul 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 22 Jul 011/009
    Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Jul 006/007
    Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Jul-26 Jul 007/008-005/005-007/008

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Jul-26 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 15/10/15
    Minor Storm 05/01/01
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 25/15/20
    Major-severe storm 25/15/15

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Wed Jul 24 21:20:15 2019
    R:190725/0013Z 25771@LU3DVN.USH.TDF.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190725/0004Z 33784@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190725/0012Z 15739@KC9VYU.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190725/0012Z 13664@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190724/2337Z 10342@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 205 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z to
    24/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (25 Jul, 26 Jul, 27 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 438 km/s at 24/0135Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
    24/2047Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
    24/1750Z.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet levels on days one and three (25 Jul, 27 Jul) and quiet
    to unsettled levels on day two (26 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 25 Jul-27 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 24 Jul 068
    Predicted 25 Jul-27 Jul 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 24 Jul 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 23 Jul 007/006
    Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Jul 004/005
    Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Jul-27 Jul 005/005-007/008-005/005

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Jul-27 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 10/15/15
    Minor Storm 01/01/01
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 15/20/20
    Major-severe storm 15/15/15

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Thu Jul 25 22:20:15 2019
    R:190726/0108Z 33859@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190726/0113Z 11164@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA BPQ6.0.18
    R:190726/0113Z 13697@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190726/0033Z 10370@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 206 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z to
    25/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (26 Jul, 27 Jul, 28 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 389 km/s at 25/0313Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
    24/2110Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
    25/1232Z.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (26 Jul,
    27 Jul, 28 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 26 Jul-28 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 25 Jul 068
    Predicted 26 Jul-28 Jul 068/068/068
    90 Day Mean 25 Jul 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 24 Jul 005/004
    Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Jul 003/003
    Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Jul-28 Jul 007/008-007/008-007/008

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Jul-28 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 15/15/10
    Minor Storm 01/01/01
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 20/20/25
    Major-severe storm 15/15/20

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    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Fri Jul 26 21:20:16 2019
    R:190727/0016Z 12156@LU9HGS.CP.COR.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190727/0016Z 25846@LU3DVN.USH.TDF.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190727/0007Z 33936@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190727/0015Z 15834@KC9VYU.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190727/0015Z 13734@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190727/0000Z 10387@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 207 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to
    26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (27 Jul, 28 Jul, 29 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 377 km/s at 25/2115Z.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (27 Jul, 28 Jul)
    and quiet levels on day three (29 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 27 Jul-29 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 26 Jul 068
    Predicted 27 Jul-29 Jul 068/068/068
    90 Day Mean 26 Jul 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 25 Jul 003/003
    Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Jul 003/004
    Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Jul-29 Jul 007/008-007/008-006/005

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Jul-29 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 15/10/10
    Minor Storm 01/01/01
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 20/25/20
    Major-severe storm 15/20/15

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo



    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Sat Jul 27 20:50:15 2019
    R:190727/2342Z 12260@LU9HGS.CP.COR.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190727/2342Z 25933@LU3DVN.USH.TDF.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190727/2333Z 33992@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190727/2341Z 22042@N9LCF.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190727/2341Z 13775@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190727/2256Z 10404@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 208 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26/2100Z to
    27/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (28 Jul, 29 Jul, 30 Jul).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 332 km/s at 27/0841Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
    27/0815Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
    27/1723Z.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (28 Jul) and quiet levels
    on days two and three (29 Jul, 30 Jul).

    III. Event probabilities 28 Jul-30 Jul
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 27 Jul 067
    Predicted 28 Jul-30 Jul 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 27 Jul 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 26 Jul 004/002
    Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Jul 004/004
    Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Jul-30 Jul 007/008-006/005-005/005

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Jul-30 Jul
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 10/10/10
    Minor Storm 01/01/01
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 25/20/20
    Major-severe storm 20/15/15

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo



    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Wed Jul 31 22:10:06 2019
    R:190801/0103Z 6568@GB7YEW.#79.GBR.EURO LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190801/0103Z 6115@AB0AF.#SCA.CA.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190801/0102Z 11562@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA BPQK6.0.18
    R:190801/0102Z 13925@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190801/0029Z 10476@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 212 Issued at 2200Z on 31 Jul 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z to
    31/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (01 Aug, 02 Aug, 03 Aug).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
    wind speed reached a peak of 532 km/s at 31/1926Z. Total IMF reached 11
    nT at 30/2229Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at 30/2246Z.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (01 Aug) and quiet levels
    on days two and three (02 Aug, 03 Aug).

    III. Event probabilities 01 Aug-03 Aug
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 31 Jul 067
    Predicted 01 Aug-03 Aug 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 31 Jul 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 30 Jul 008/007
    Estimated Afr/Ap 31 Jul 009/011
    Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Aug-03 Aug 008/008-005/005-006/005

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Aug-03 Aug
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 15/10/10
    Minor Storm 05/01/01
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 25/20/20
    Major-severe storm 25/20/10

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo



    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Fri Aug 2 13:10:06 2019
    R:190802/1557Z 34413@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190802/1604Z 11707@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA BPQK6.0.18
    R:190802/1604Z 13983@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190802/1504Z 10504@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 213 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Aug 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z to
    01/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (02 Aug, 03 Aug, 04 Aug).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
    wind speed reached a peak of 547 km/s at 01/0513Z. Total IMF reached 8
    nT at 31/2148Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 31/2338Z.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet levels on days one and two (02 Aug, 03 Aug) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (04 Aug).

    III. Event probabilities 02 Aug-04 Aug
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 01 Aug 067
    Predicted 02 Aug-04 Aug 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 01 Aug 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 31 Jul 010/008
    Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Aug 007/008
    Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Aug-04 Aug 005/005-006/005-008/008

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Aug-04 Aug
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 10/10/15
    Minor Storm 01/01/05
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 20/20/25
    Major-severe storm 20/10/25

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Sat Aug 3 08:20:02 2019
    R:190803/1101Z 34492@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190803/1105Z 11763@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA BPQK6.0.18
    R:190803/1104Z 14024@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190803/1033Z 10515@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 214 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Aug 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to
    02/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast:

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
    wind speed reached a peak of 530 km/s at 02/0742Z.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet levels on day one (03 Aug), quiet to active levels on day
    two (04 Aug) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (05 Aug).

    III. Event probabilities 03 Aug-05 Aug
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 02 Aug 067
    Predicted 03 Aug-05 Aug 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 02 Aug 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 01 Aug 008/007
    Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Aug 005/005
    Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Aug-05 Aug 006/005-011/012-018/025

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Aug-05 Aug
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 10/15/35
    Minor Storm 01/05/15
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/10
    Minor Storm 20/30/30
    Major-severe storm 10/25/55

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Sat Aug 3 22:10:01 2019
    R:190804/0105Z 26270@LU3DVN.USH.TDF.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190804/0057Z 34545@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190804/0105Z 16370@KC9VYU.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190804/0104Z 14045@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190804/0047Z 10531@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 215 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Aug 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to
    03/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (04 Aug, 05 Aug, 06 Aug).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 408 km/s at 03/0107Z.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to active levels on day one (04 Aug), unsettled to minor
    storm levels on day two (05 Aug) and quiet to minor storm levels on day
    three (06 Aug).

    III. Event probabilities 04 Aug-06 Aug
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 03 Aug 066
    Predicted 04 Aug-06 Aug 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 03 Aug 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 02 Aug 004/004
    Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Aug 004/004
    Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Aug-06 Aug 011/012-018/025-015/020

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Aug-06 Aug
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 15/35/30
    Minor Storm 05/15/10
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/10/15
    Minor Storm 30/30/30
    Major-severe storm 25/55/45

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Sun Aug 4 21:00:01 2019
    R:190804/2348Z 34585@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190804/2356Z 16409@KC9VYU.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190804/2356Z 14070@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190804/2257Z 10543@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 216 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Aug 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to
    04/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (05 Aug, 06 Aug, 07 Aug).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 372 km/s at 04/0807Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
    04/1339Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
    04/0746Z.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (05 Aug), quiet to
    minor storm levels on day two (06 Aug) and quiet to active levels on day
    three (07 Aug).

    III. Event probabilities 05 Aug-07 Aug
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 04 Aug 067
    Predicted 05 Aug-07 Aug 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 04 Aug 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 03 Aug 004/003
    Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Aug 005/006
    Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Aug-07 Aug 018/025-020/025-012/015

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Aug-07 Aug
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 35/35/20
    Minor Storm 15/15/10
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 10/10/15
    Minor Storm 30/30/30
    Major-severe storm 55/55/35

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Tue Aug 6 13:00:02 2019
    R:190806/1557Z 26399@LU3DVN.USH.TDF.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190806/1548Z 34725@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190806/1556Z 16495@KC9VYU.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190806/1556Z 14132@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190806/1528Z 10591@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 217 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Aug 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to
    05/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (06 Aug, 07 Aug, 08 Aug).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
    Solar wind speed reached a peak of 752 km/s at 05/1723Z. Total IMF
    reached 23 nT at 05/0857Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
    -21 nT at 05/0701Z.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (06 Aug), quiet to
    active levels on day two (07 Aug) and quiet to unsettled levels on day
    three (08 Aug).

    III. Event probabilities 06 Aug-08 Aug
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 05 Aug 068
    Predicted 06 Aug-08 Aug 068/068/068
    90 Day Mean 05 Aug 069

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 04 Aug 006/004
    Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Aug 029/037
    Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Aug-08 Aug 020/025-012/015-008/008

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Aug-08 Aug
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 40/30/15
    Minor Storm 25/10/05
    Major-severe storm 05/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 05/15/15
    Minor Storm 20/30/25
    Major-severe storm 65/40/25

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Tue Aug 6 20:40:01 2019
    R:190806/2338Z 12885@LU3WAM.CHU.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190806/2338Z 26445@LU3DVN.USH.TDF.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190806/2329Z 34733@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190806/2337Z 16503@KC9VYU.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190806/2337Z 14138@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190806/2314Z 10596@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 218 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Aug 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to
    06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (07 Aug, 08 Aug, 09 Aug).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
    wind speed reached a peak of 729 km/s at 06/0308Z. Electrons greater
    than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 25869 pfu.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to active levels on day one (07 Aug), quiet to unsettled
    levels on day two (08 Aug) and quiet levels on day three (09 Aug).

    III. Event probabilities 07 Aug-09 Aug
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 06 Aug 068
    Predicted 07 Aug-09 Aug 068/068/068
    90 Day Mean 06 Aug 068

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 05 Aug 020/036
    Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Aug 013/016
    Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug 011/014-009/008-006/005

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Aug-09 Aug
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 25/20/10
    Minor Storm 10/05/01
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 30/25/20
    Major-severe storm 40/25/15

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Wed Aug 7 21:50:01 2019
    R:190808/0040Z 26482@LU3DVN.USH.TDF.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.17
    R:190808/0031Z 34840@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190808/0039Z 12001@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA BPQK6.0.18
    R:190808/0039Z 14182@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190808/0031Z 10614@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 219 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Aug 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to
    07/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (08 Aug, 09 Aug, 10 Aug).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
    wind speed reached a peak of 622 km/s at 07/0042Z. Total IMF reached 5
    nT at 07/1206Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at 07/2052Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
    peak level of 26137 pfu.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (08 Aug, 09 Aug, 10
    Aug).

    III. Event probabilities 08 Aug-10 Aug
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 07 Aug 068
    Predicted 08 Aug-10 Aug 068/068/068
    90 Day Mean 07 Aug 068

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 06 Aug 010/012
    Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Aug 006/007
    Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Aug-10 Aug 005/005-006/005-005/006

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Aug-10 Aug
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 10/10/15
    Minor Storm 01/01/05
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 20/20/20
    Major-severe storm 20/15/15

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Thu Aug 8 22:50:01 2019
    R:190809/0142Z 7791@VA3TOK.#SCON.ON.CAN.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190809/0142Z 56880@VA7RBP.#SCBC.BC.CAN.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190809/0141Z 33912@NS2B.#WNY.NY.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190809/0141Z 12054@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA BPQK6.0.18
    R:190809/0141Z 22682@N9LCF.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190809/0141Z 14207@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190808/2329Z 10638@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 220 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Aug 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z to
    08/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (09 Aug, 10 Aug, 11 Aug).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
    wind speed reached a peak of 598 km/s at 08/1251Z. Total IMF reached 6
    nT at 08/0516Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 08/1244Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
    peak level of 21913 pfu.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet levels on day one (09 Aug) and quiet to unsettled levels
    on days two and three (10 Aug, 11 Aug).

    III. Event probabilities 09 Aug-11 Aug
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 08 Aug 069
    Predicted 09 Aug-11 Aug 068/068/068
    90 Day Mean 08 Aug 068

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 07 Aug 006/006
    Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Aug 007/008
    Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Aug-11 Aug 006/005-007/008-008/008

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Aug-11 Aug
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 10/15/15
    Minor Storm 01/05/05
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 20/25/25
    Major-severe storm 15/25/25

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)
  • From W7EES@21:5/101 to SWPC on Fri Aug 9 20:50:02 2019
    R:190809/2333Z 34948@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190809/2341Z 22723@N9LCF.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
    R:190809/2341Z 14232@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.NA LinBPQ6.0.18
    R:190809/2309Z 10658@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18


    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 221 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Aug 2019

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z to
    09/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
    hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
    on days one, two, and three (10 Aug, 11 Aug, 12 Aug).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: The geomagnetic
    field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
    reached a peak of 636 km/s at 09/2032Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
    09/2037Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
    09/1441Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
    peak level of 16327 pfu.
    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
    to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (10 Aug, 11 Aug)
    and quiet levels on day three (12 Aug).

    III. Event probabilities 10 Aug-12 Aug
    Class M 01/01/01
    Class X 01/01/01
    Proton 01/01/01
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 09 Aug 067
    Predicted 10 Aug-12 Aug 067/067/067
    90 Day Mean 09 Aug 068

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 08 Aug 006/007
    Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Aug 006/005
    Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Aug-12 Aug 007/008-008/008-005/005

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Aug-12 Aug
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 15/15/10
    Minor Storm 05/05/01
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01
    B. High Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 25/25/20
    Major-severe storm 25/25/10

    Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remo


    --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A43 (Linux/32)
    * Origin: HAMRADIO telnet lu9dce.dynu.com (21:5/101)