• OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur

    From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Thu May 15 09:20:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 151317
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    &&
    Today, May 15, marks the first day of routine issuance of the
    Atlantic basin Tropical Weather Outlook in 2025. This product
    describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their
    potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next seven
    days. The Tropical Weather Outlook is issued from May 15 through
    November 30 each year. The issuance times of this product are 2 AM,
    8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT. After the change to standard time in
    November, the issuance times are 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.

    A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
    updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances
    of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks
    will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular
    Tropical Weather Outlooks.

    A graphical version of the Tropical Weather Outlook is available on https://www.hurricanes.gov .

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
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  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Fri May 16 08:41:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 161132
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Sat May 17 08:52:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 171118
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat May 17 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
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  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Mon May 19 08:20:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 191115
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon May 19 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts
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  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Tue May 20 08:38:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 201124
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue May 20 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
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  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Fri May 23 07:19:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 231117
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri May 23 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
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  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Mon May 26 09:07:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 261133
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon May 26 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Thu May 29 07:50:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 291123
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu May 29 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly/Mora
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  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Mon Jun 2 07:25:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 021134
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Tue Jun 3 09:01:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 031144
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:

    A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form near or
    offshore of the southeastern U.S. coast along a frontal boundary
    during the next couple of days. If the low remains offshore, it
    could gradually develop some subtropical or tropical characteristics
    later this week while moving northeastward at 10 to 15 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Wed Jun 4 07:35:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 041146
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Jun 4 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Near the Southeastern U.S. Coast:

    Showers and thunderstorms located over the Florida peninsula,
    the southeastern U.S. coast, the northwestern Bahamas, and the
    adjacent Atlantic and Gulf waters are associated with a broad trough
    of low pressure. A non-tropical low pressure area is forecast to
    form from this system on Thursday, but it is becoming increasingly
    likely that this development will occur inland over South Carolina
    and North Carolina. As a result, the low's chances of acquiring
    subtropical or tropical characteristics have diminished. Regardless
    of development, heavy rainfall could cause some flash flooding
    along portions of the southeastern U.S. coast today and on Thursday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Thu Jun 5 07:22:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 051119
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts
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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Mon Jun 9 07:35:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 091131
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Jun 9 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Fri Jun 13 07:54:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 131125
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Jun 13 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Mon Jun 16 08:58:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 161142
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci
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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Fri Jun 20 08:14:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 201151
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Jun 20 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi/Nepaul
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Sun Jun 22 08:42:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 221140
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Jun 22 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Central Subtropical Atlantic:
    A trough of low pressure located about 500 miles east-southeast
    of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
    Some slow development of this system is possible during the next
    couple of days before it moves into a region of strong upper-level
    winds. This system is expected to move northeastward over the
    central Atlantic during the next few days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Mon Jun 23 09:12:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 231145
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Jun 23 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):
    Satellite images indicate that disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms are displaced to the east of an area of low pressure
    located about 600 miles east of Bermuda. Environmental conditions
    are still marginally favorable for further development, and an
    increase in thunderstorm activity could result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression today. By Tuesday, this system is
    expected to encounter less favorable environmental conditions,
    ending its opportunity for development. The system is forecast to
    move northeastward around 10 mph, remaining over the open central
    Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Tue Jun 24 08:17:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 241226
    TWOAT

    Special Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    830 AM EDT Tue Jun 24 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Special outlook issued to update AL90 formation chances

    Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):
    Satellite images indicate that shower and thunderstorm activity
    has become better organized in association with a small gale-force
    low-pressure system located about 900 miles east-northeast of
    Bermuda. This system will likely become a short-lived tropical
    storm later today before more hostile environmental conditions end
    its opportunity for development by this evening. The low is
    forecast to move northeastward at around 15 to 20 mph while
    remaining over the open central Atlantic. For additional
    information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas
    Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    &&

    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Blake
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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Wed Jun 25 08:20:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 251139
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Jun 25 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake
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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Fri Jun 27 09:46:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 271139
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Bay of Campeche:
    An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the
    northwestern Caribbean sea and the adjacent land areas is expected
    to move west-northwestward into the Bay of Campeche Saturday or
    Saturday night, where an area of low pressure could form.
    Subsequent development is possible on Sunday or Monday if the system
    remains offshore of the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development,
    locally heavy rains are possible over portions of Belize, Guatemala,
    and southeastern Mexico during the next few days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Sat Jun 28 10:42:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 281135
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Bay of Campeche (AL91):
    An area of low pressure located in the eastern Bay of Campeche near
    the Mexican coastline continues to produce a broad region of
    disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity over the Yucatan
    Peninsula and adjacent waters. Additional development is possible
    today and Sunday as the low moves generally west-northwestward, and
    a tropical depression could form during this period while the system
    remains over the waters of the Bay of Campeche. By Monday, this
    system should move inland over eastern Mexico, ending its chances of development. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, locally heavy
    rains are possible over portions of Belize, Guatemala, and
    southeastern Mexico during the next few days. An Air Force Reserve
    Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system
    later today, if necessary.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Sun Jun 29 09:04:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 291153
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Jun 29 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Depression Two, located in the Bay of Campeche.

    Southeastern U.S. Coastline:
    Towards the end of this week into next weekend, an area of low
    pressure could develop from a remnant frontal boundary near or along
    the southeastern U.S. Atlantic and or Gulf coasts. Some gradual
    tropical or subtropical development could occur thereafter as it
    drifts slowly just off the U.S. coastline.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under
    WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
    header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
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  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Mon Jun 30 07:44:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 301139
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on the
    Remnants of Barry, located inland over eastern Mexico.

    Near the Southeastern U.S.:
    A frontal boundary is expected to stall and weaken off the southeast
    U.S. coast late this week. An area of low pressure could develop
    from the weakening front by the weekend off the southeast U.S.,
    over Florida, or over the eastern Gulf. Some gradual tropical or
    subtropical development could occur thereafter as the low moves
    little.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Tue Jul 1 08:35:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 011132
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Near the Southeastern U.S.:
    A frontal boundary is expected to stall and weaken off the southeast
    U.S. coast late this week. An area of low pressure could develop
    from the weakening front by the weekend over the Atlantic waters
    off the southeast U.S., over Florida, or over the eastern Gulf.
    Some gradual tropical or subtropical development could occur
    thereafter as the low drifts and moves little.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Wed Jul 2 08:55:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 021133
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Near the Southeastern U.S.:
    An area of low pressure could develop near the southeast U.S.
    Atlantic or Gulf coasts by this weekend along a weakening frontal
    boundary. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive
    for some slow development, but a tropical or subtropical depression
    could form in this region over the weekend or early next week while
    the system moves little. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall
    is possible across portions of the southeast U.S., particularly
    across the west-central Florida coast.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Thu Jul 3 08:48:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 031131
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Near the Southeastern U.S.:
    An area of low pressure is forecast to develop along a weakening
    frontal boundary near Florida or the Atlantic coast of the
    southeastern United States by Saturday. Environmental
    conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slow
    development, but a tropical or subtropical depression could form in
    this region over the weekend or early next week while the system
    drifts northward or northeastward. Regardless of development, heavy
    rainfall is possible across portions of the southeast U.S.,
    particularly across the west-central Florida coast.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Fri Jul 4 08:37:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 041153
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Near the Southeastern United States (AL92):
    Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with an area
    of low pressure located about 100 miles off the northeast Florida
    coast. Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally
    conducive for further development, and a short-lived tropical or
    subtropical depression could form late today or on Saturday while
    the system drifts northward. This low is expected to move inland
    over the southeastern U.S. Saturday night or early Sunday.
    Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across
    portions of west-central and southwestern Florida through early
    Saturday, and across coastal sections of the Carolinas beginning
    later on Saturday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
    scheduled to investigate the system later today.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi/Beven
    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
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  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Tue Jul 8 08:43:00 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 081119
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
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