ACUS11 KWNS 092106
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092106=20
ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-100100-

Mesoscale Discussion 0026
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0306 PM CST Thu Jan 09 2025

Areas affected...Portions of northeast Texas into far southeast
Oklahoma and far southwest Arkansas

Concerning...Freezing rain=20

Valid 092106Z - 100100Z

SUMMARY...Freezing rain and perhaps some snow/sleet mix will
continue spreading northeastward across northeast Texas into the
early evening. Some locations could see freezing rain rates around
0.10 inch/3 hours.

DISCUSSION...Recent mosaic radar data shows a swath of mixed winter precipitation spreading northeastward across north-central TX --
where surface temperatures are hovering around 32-33F. Within a belt
of strong deep-layer southwesterly flow, and at the nose of an eastward-shifting plume of warm advection, this activity will
continue expanding across northeast TX into this evening. Here,
forecast soundings indicate a deep/saturated profile with a
warm-nose temperature around 0.1-0.2C atop sub-freezing surface
conditions -- favoring partial melting of descending hydrometeors.
This should support primarily freezing rain, though some mix of
sleet/snow will also be possible. Freezing rain rates around 0.10
inch/3 hours will be possible in some locations across northeast TX
into far southeast OK and southwest AR through the evening.

..Weinman.. 01/09/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6BPBgDla-Tt22YkBGM4w9X6SkRKqqDBA2JY8Ru7Gvn0QJtJOt7seFzFJbOnJMTKSeljTdmAhV= CziBp8idkjDZs8UgLw$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...

LAT...LON 33509657 33859559 34159415 33919365 33519363 33039489
32809603 32799651 33119687 33509657=20


=3D =3D =3D
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