ACUS11 KWNS 091752
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 091751=20
FLZ000-091915-

Mesoscale Discussion 2141
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1251 PM CDT Wed Oct 09 2024

Areas affected...East Central and Southeastern Florida

Concerning...Tornado Watch 690...

Valid 091751Z - 091915Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 690 continues.

SUMMARY...Tornado threat to continue shifting northward over the
next 1-2 hours.

DISCUSSION...Ongoing supercell activity across south-central and
southeastern Florida continues, with reports of a confirmed tornado
near Fort Drum. A strong thermal gradient is in place across much of
the southern Florida Peninsula, with MLCAPE around 500-2000 J/kg.
Though the thermal profile becomes less favorable with northern
extent, ongoing established supercells will likely continue to track
northward and maintain organization and intensity as they move into
highly favorable deep layer shear and southeasterly backed surface
flow, progged to increase with the expanding wind field associated
with Hurricane Milton. As such, the threat for tornadoes will
continue, shifting northward over the next 1-2 hours.

..Thornton/Smith.. 10/09/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9z0xecpfrTvKgzZEEMvg6h429GnuIFdUe5EVrljQKj0V4A9S83WLpETRR5m9NTsqLyoT7KWfg= kx61hA4OpDTdc7uKXs$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

LAT...LON 27378132 27708136 27968142 28508143 28918118 28838066
28608046 28348040 28018033 27698023 27338017 26988015
26778025 26698046 26758078 26988118 27378132=20


=3D =3D =3D
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